Risk Management Failures – What ...
After completing this reading, you should be able to: Explain how a large... Read More
After completing this reading, you should be able to:
Financial institutions are required to manage financial risks. However, it is an uphill task given that risk management should go hand with the firm’s owners’ objectives, the reason for risk management strategy and the type of risks, risks to be retained, and types of instruments available.
Modern risk management follows an iterative road map which involves five key areas:
This involves taking note of the corporate objectives and risks, and deciding whether to manage risk and in case risks are managed, what type of risks.
Risk appetite refers to the types of risk the firm is willing to accommodate. It, however, should be differentiated with the risk capacity, which is the highest level of risk that a firm can handle. Another term is the risk profile, which the current level of risk to which the firm is exposed.
The practical risk appetite is stated in two ways:
Many financial institutions have developed risk appetite as an essential factor. From the above diagram, the risk appetite of a firm should be below the risk capacity and above the risk profile of the firm. The dotted lined represents the upper and lower levels at which the risk must be reported.
The assessment of magnitudes of risks is required after a general policy structure pertaining to risk management has been set up by the board of directors. First, the concerned officials from the firm should identify the risks affecting their divisions, record all the assets and liabilities that have exposure to the risks, and should list orders falling in the horizon set for hedging activities. Once the business risk, market risk, credit risk, and risks associated with operations are identified, the management should look into appropriate instruments to hedge the risks. For example, a firm with foreign exchange rate exposure may list all the assets and liabilities, having exposure to the exchange rate on the horizon of hedging policy. It should also list sales and expenses that are exposed to the exchange rate. After this, it can find the appropriate financial instrument to hedge these risks.
After understanding the firm’s risk appetite and mapping risks, a risk manager can decide the best way to address the risk while prioritizing the most severe and urgent risks. Moreover, risk must put into consideration the cost and the benefits of each risk management strategy. Risk management strategies include:
The type of strategy is decided by the senior management, the board, and the firm’s risk manager. The strategy should enable the firm to operate efficiently within the risk appetite.
Now let us turn our attention a little bit on the transfer of risks. The tools of risk transfer (Hedging) include forwards, futures, options, and swaps.
The type of transfer tool used depends on the desired goals of the firm. For instance, options might be more flexible than the forward contracts—moreover, the trading mechanism of the risk transfer instrument. For example, firms may decide to use either exchange-traded or over-the-counter (OTC) instruments to hedge their risks. Exchange-traded instruments are standardized products with maturities and strikes set in advance while over-the-counter derivatives are traded by investment banks, among others, and can be tailored to the firm’s needs. For example, the size of the contract, strike, and maturity can all be customized. However, the credit risk is higher for OTC contracts as compared to exchange-traded instruments. In addition, a firm should take into account the liquidity and transaction costs related to the instrument that it wants to use for hedging.
Hedging can reduce the cost of capital, reduce cash flow volatility, check liquidity crunch, and improve the debt capacity of a firm. Firms with tight financial constraints might always want to minimize cash flow volatilities to capitalize on growth opportunities. If there are synergistic effects of hedging on the firm’s operation, then it should actively hedge to reduce volatilities that may adversely affect its business. For example, if a firm’s core business is to manufacture using some crop as an input, then it may use futures on the crop to hedge the price of that crop. In so doing, the firm may go about managing its core business rather than worrying about the price fluctuations in the crop.
Hedging can only lead to stable earnings for a limited period. Moreover, hedging is costly (for example, an option requires premiums). Hedging might not be appropriate in a diversified portfolio because risk might be diversified away.
A firm risk management team may miscomprehend the type of risk to which it is exposed, incorrectly measuring or mapping the risk, fail to detect variation in market structure or maybe among the rogue traders, is their own.
Moreover, hedging might involve complex derivatives or strategies which can be compromised by certain events such as interest rate movements.
Poor communication concerning the risk management strategy can lead to dire consequences. Therefore, a hedging program should be well communicated.
As mentioned earlier, the risk management roadmap is iterative. To operationalize the risk appetite, the risk manager evaluates the risk policies, sets the risk limit, and rightsizes the risk management team.
A firm can choose to hedge against volatilities related to its operations. For example, a firm may hedge the cost of an input material required for a firm’s operations. Since this type of hedging can help reduce the risks associated with the firm’s inputs, a firm can concentrate on its core business. It has an impact on the prices of final products and also the scale of products being sold. Hedging currency exposures to reduce risks of losses in exports constitutes an example of hedging risks related to operations. A tomato ketchup company may choose to hedge its exposure to tomato prices so that it may concentrate on the quality and marketing of its ketchup rather than worrying about the losses it may incur if the prices of tomatoes were to increase.
Hedging risks associated with financial positions is a crucial aspect of risk management. This can involve strategies such as interest rate hedging and the use of interest rate swaps. In a perfect market, hedging may not be necessary, as it would not impact the financial health of a firm. However, in reality, markets are often imperfect, and hedging can provide benefits to one party in the transaction. When hedging is undertaken, it is essential that both parties involved have equal access to information about the markets. This ensures that the hedging is fair and effective. Inefficient markets can offer opportunities for firms to gain benefits from hedging, such as increased debt capacity, tax advantages, economies of scale, or leveraging superior information compared to individual investors.
Firms should prioritize hedging their operational risks. If they choose to hedge their financial positions, it is important to maintain transparency about their hedging policies. Effective risk management involves accepting certain risks, hedging against others, and managing the costs associated with hedging to benefit the firm overall.
When the firm has a clear picture of its objectives in risky areas, it needs to see that the risk management team can come up and execute the approach. That is, risk management should fit its purpose.
Rightsizing of the risk management team ensures that if a firm uses complex risk management instruments, the firm is independent of risk management providers such as investment banks.
Rightsizing also involves ensuring that the risk management function has an elaborate accounting treatment, which can be cost or a profit center. Moreover, the firm should also decide whether to proportionally redistribute the cost of risk management to areas where risk management is concerned, depending on the risk culture and appetite of the firm.
Rightsizing risk management may also involve setting up a risk-limiting system. A good example is the stress, sensitivity, and scenario analysis limits. Scenario analysis limits are linked to determining how bad the situation in a hypothesized worst-case scenario. The stress test concentrates on unique stresses while the sensitivity looks at the sensitivity of the portfolio to variables changes. However, stress, sensitivity, and scenario analysis limits are sophisticated, require excellent expertise, and in the case of scenario analysis, is challenging to be sure if all bases are covered.
Value-at-Risk (VaR) limits give an aggregate statistical digit as a limit, but the management can easily misinterpret it. Moreover, it does not indicate the extent of an unfavorable condition in a stressed market.
The Greek limits provide the risk positions of options using Greeks such as delta, gamma, and theta. However, their calculations may be compromised, given the lack of management and independence.
Risk concentration limits can also be used. Recall that the risk concentrations include product and geographical risk concentrations. To set these limits, a risk manager ought to have expertise in dealing with correlations because capturing correlation risk in a stressed market is a bit challenging.
Risk-specific limits involve setting limits concerning specific risk types such as Liquidity ratios for Liquidity risks. On the contrary, these limits are difficult to aggregate and require expert knowledge.
Maturity (gap) limits state the limits of the transactions at maturity at each period. These limits are aimed to decrease the risk associated with large-size transactions in a given time frame. However, they are not evident in delivering price risk. Other limits include stop-loss limits and notional limits.
Risk management involves choosing the right instruments, coming up with the day-to-day decisions, and establishing oversight authority. Consider risk hedging, for instance.
Access to all relevant information, data, and statistical tools is required to frame a strategy for hedging. The risk management team should know the background of the statistical tools being employed to create hedges. The nature of strategy, i.e., static or dynamic, is an important decision. Static strategies are more of a hedge and forget strategies, where a hedge is placed almost exactly to match the underlying exposure. This hedge remains in place till the exposure ends. Dynamic strategies require more managerial effort and involve a sequence of trades that are used to offset the exposure as nearly as possible. Moreover, dynamic strategies may result in higher transaction costs and require monitoring of positions closely. Proper implementation and communication are the key requirements for the success of any hedging strategy.
The horizon for the hedging position and accounting considerations related to the hedge often has important implications for the way the strategy is planned. Accounting rules require that marked-to-market profit or loss be duly recorded if the position in a derivative and underlying asset are not perfectly matched with regards to dates and quantities. Tax laws vary among countries, and there are differences in tax laws for different derivatives.
Question
The new Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of a publicly traded technology company is evaluating various stakeholders’ opinions on the organization’s risk management strategies, particularly hedging. Which of the following assertions correctly reflects the viewpoints of these stakeholders?
A. Equity investors with a diverse portfolio typically favor the company hedging risks exclusive to the technology sector.
B. Bondholders generally appreciate the company employing hedging to make its revenue more stable.
C. Both shareholders and bondholders typically want the company to avoid hedging the currency risk in long-term international agreements.
D. Shareholders usually do not value the company’s use of hedging to minimize its tax obligations over several years.
Solution
The correct answer is B.
Debt investors, or bondholders, are generally interested in the stability and predictability of a company’s revenue stream, as it impacts the firm’s ability to meet its debt obligations. Hedging strategies help in reducing the volatility of revenues, making the company less risky from a debt investor’s perspective.
A is incorrect. Equity investors holding a well-diversified portfolio are often less concerned with firm-specific risks, as these risks can be diversified away. The hedging of industry-specific risks might not align with their preferences.
C is incorrect. The preferences of equity and debt investors regarding the hedging of foreign exchange risks can vary widely. Equity investors may be more open to such risks, seeking higher returns, while debt investors may prefer the firm to hedge these risks to enhance stability. This statement fails to capture these nuances.
D is incorrect. Equity investors may indeed value strategies that reduce tax exposure, as this could increase the firm’s after-tax profits, thus benefiting shareholders. This statement incorrectly assumes that hedging to reduce tax exposure would not be rewarded by equity investors.
Things to Remember
- Stakeholders have varied opinions and interests when it comes to a company’s risk management practices.
- Bondholders often prioritize the financial stability of a company, as this directly impacts the safety of their investments.
- Hedging can serve as a valuable tool to mitigate financial uncertainties and align the interests of certain stakeholders.
- While bondholders might favor revenue stability, equity investors could have a range of preferences based on the nature of their portfolio.
- Aligning risk management practices with stakeholder interests can bolster trust and ensure a harmonious relationship with investors.