The Monetary and Fiscal Policies and Determination of Exchange Rates

Government policies have an impact on exchange rate fluctuations. These channels include: 1. The Mundell-Fleming Model This model stipulates that changes in monetary and fiscal policies within a country interfere with interest rates and economic activities. These interferences manifest themselves…

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The Triangular Arbitrage Opportunity

Every bid-offer quote a dealer displays in the interbank FX market should possess the following properties to avoid the creation of arbitrage opportunity: The bid should not be higher than the current interbank offer, and the offer should not be…

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International Parity Conditions

International parity conditions refer to the economic theories that link exchange rates, price levels (inflation), and interest rates. These theories describe the interrelationships that help determine long-run fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation. Assumptions of International Parity Conditions…

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The Mark-to-Market Value of a Forward Contract

A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to trade one currency for another on a specified future date and at a pre-determined rate. In other words, it is an exchange rate transaction whose settlement timeline exceeds T+2. The…

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Spot Rate, Forward Rate, and Forward Premium/Discount

A spot exchange rate is the general price level in the market used to directly trade one currency for another, with the exchange occurring at the earliest possible time. The standard delivery time for spot currency transactions is no longer…

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The Bid-offer Spread

An exchange rate is the price of the base currency expressed in terms of the price currency. For example, assume that the USD/CAD rate is 0.7625. This implies that the Canadian dollar, the base currency, costs 0.7625 US dollars (One…

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Projections Beyond the Short-term Forecast Horizon
After forecasting for the forecast period, analysts estimate the terminal value based on long-term projections. When using the historical multiples-based approach to estimate the terminal value of a company, the analyst assumes that the past is a good reflection of...
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The Forecast Time Horizon
The forecast time horizon is influenced by the following: The investment strategy being considered: Professionally managed equity investments have an investment timeframe or the average holding period for a stock, corresponding with the average annual portfolio turnover. The cyclicality of...
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Effects of Technological Developments on Demand, Selling Prices, Costs, and Margins
Businesses and industries are affected by technological developments. It is, however, impossible to quantify these impacts without making assumptions about the future. These assumptions should be evaluated using scenario and sensitivity analysis to develop a range of earnings outcomes. There...
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Forecasting Industry and Company Sales and Costs When Subject to Inflation or Deflation
Inflation and deflation affect the accuracy of a company’s forecasts. The impact of inflation and deflation varies in the case of revenues and expenses. Some companies can pass on higher input costs by raising the prices of their products. Companies...
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