Projections Beyond the Short-Term Forecast Horizon

The forecast time horizon is influenced by the following: The investment strategy being considered: Professionally managed equity investments have an investment timeframe or the average holding period for a stock, corresponding with the average annual portfolio turnover. The cyclicality of…

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Deflation and Inflation Modeling

The process of forecasting industry and company sales amidst inflation or deflation is intricate and essential. The shifting tides of economies impact industries and individual companies, affecting sales volumes, prices, and costs. It is vital for analysts to adeptly understand…

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The Impact of Competitive Position on Prices and Costs

In analyzing a company’s competitive position, Porter’s Five Forces framework is a valuable tool. This model evaluates the influence of five key industry factors: competitive rivalry, threat of new entrants, bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, and the…

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Behavioral Finance and Analyst Forecasts

Financial statement models are not immune to behavioral biases. Analysts must be aware of the impact of behavioral biases and solutions to improve investment decisions and forecasts. The five key behavioral biases are overconfidence, conservatism, confirmation bias, the illusion of…

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Sales-based Pro Forma Development

A sales-based proforma company model helps in forecasting a company’s financial performance based on predicted future sales. This model plays a crucial role in strategic planning, providing insights for making informed business decisions. It uses various assumptions regarding sales growth…

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Accounting Warning Signs

Financial manipulation leaves a trail, like tracks on sand or snow. The manipulation could be time-related or location-related. An example of time-related manipulation is expense capitalization, which would decrease the expenses of the current period and distribute the cost over…

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Accounting Methods Used to Manage Earnings

Investors should be mindful of how the choice of accounting method can affect financial reporting. The accounting methods selected do not have to involve complex accounting standards to significantly impact the timing of revenue and the resulting financial reports. This…

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Presentation Choices That Influence Analyst Opinions

The presentation choices adopted by a company when preparing its financial statements can significantly influence analysts’ and other users’ opinions on these statements. These presentation choices include both GAAP and non-GAAP measures. Presentation Choices That Influence Analyst Opinions Earnings before…

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Mechanisms that Discipline Financial Reporting Quality

Given the negative implications of low financial reporting quality, disciplinary mechanisms need to be established to promote high reporting quality. Even though several mechanisms exist, there are certain limitations to their effectiveness. Mechanisms That Discipline Financial Reporting Quality Financial markets…

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Management Motivations for Low-quality Financial Reporting

Several reasons would lead a company’s management to issue low-quality financial reports. However, the prevalence of this practice is mitigated by the existence of a robust regulatory regime that disciplines financial reporting quality. Management Motivations for Low-quality Financial Reporting The…

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