The Use of Multiple Regression for Forecasting

Multiple regression uses the same process employed in simple regression for predicting the dependent variable’s value. It, however, does so with more items summed up, as shown below: $$ \widehat{Y_f}={\hat{b}}_0+{\hat{b}}_1X_{1f}+{\hat{b}}_2X_{2f}+\ldots+{\hat{b}}_kX_{kf}={\hat{b}}_0+\sum_{j=1}^{k}{{\hat{b}}_jX_{jf}} $$ Where: \({\hat{Y}}_f\) = Predicted (forecasted) value of the dependent…

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Joint Hypotheses Testing

In multiple regression, the intercept in simple regression represents the expected value of the dependent variable when the independent variable is zero, while in multiple regression, it’s the expected value when all independent variables are zero. The interpretation of slope…

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Assumptions Underlying Multiple Linear Regression

The following assumptions are used to build multiple regression models: The relationship between the dependent variable, and the independent variables, is linear. The independent variables are not random. There is no definite linear relationship between two or more independent variables….

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ANOVA Table and Measures of Goodness of Fit

R-squared \(\bf{(R^2)}\) measures how well an estimated regression fits the data. It is also known as the coefficient of determination and can be formulated as: $$ R^2=\frac{\text{Sum of regression squares}}{\text{Sum of squares total}}=\frac{{\sum_{i=1}^{n}{(\widehat{Y_i}-\bar{Y})}}^2}{{\sum_{i=1}^{n}{(Y_i-\bar{Y})}}^2} $$ Where: \(n\) = Number of observations….

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What Multiple Regression is and How It Works

Example: Multiple Regression in Investment World James Chase, an investment analyst, wants to determine the impact of inflation rates and real rates of interest on the price of the US Dollar index (USDX). Chase uses the multiple regression model below:…

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A Review of Multiple Linear Regression’s Uses

Multiple linear regression describes the variation of the dependent variable by using two or more independent variables. When used properly, it can improve predictions. However, if used incorrectly, it can create spurious relationships that can undermine predictions. Typically, a multiple…

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Mortgages and Mortgage-Backed Securities

After completing this reading, you should be able to: Describe the various types of residential mortgage products. Calculate fixed-rate mortgage payment and its principal and interest components. Describe the mortgage prepayment option and the factors that influence prepayments. Summarize the…

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Corporate Bonds

After completing this reading, you should be able to: Understand what a bond is and describe the methods of issuing bonds. Describe the features of bond trading and explain the behavior of bond yield. Describe a bond indenture and explain…

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Regression with a Single Regressor – Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals

[vsw id=”InA-x54arGg” source=”youtube” width=”611″ height=”344″ autoplay=”no”] After completing this reading you should be able to: Calculate and interpret confidence intervals for regression coefficients. Interpret the \(p-value\). Interpret hypothesis tests about regression coefficients. Evaluate the implications of homoskedasticity and heteroskedasticity. Determine…

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Properties of Options

After completing this reading, you should be able to: Identify the six factors that affect an option’s price. Identify and compute upper and lower bounds for option prices on non-dividend and dividend-paying stocks. Explain put-call parity and apply it to…

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