The Carry Trade

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Assessing the Long-run Fair Values of an Exchange Rate

Parity conditions are useful in the assessment of the fair value of currencies. Even then, it is worth clarifying that they cannot be used to gauge the currency value in real time. As discussed previously, parity conditions include the covered…

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The Monetary and Fiscal Policies and Determination of Exchange Rates

Government policies have an impact on exchange rate fluctuations. These channels include: 1. The Mundell-Fleming Model This model stipulates that changes in monetary and fiscal policies within a country interfere with interest rates and economic activities. These interferences manifest themselves…

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The Triangular Arbitrage Opportunity

Every bid-offer quote a dealer displays in the interbank FX market should possess the following properties to avoid the creation of arbitrage opportunity: The bid should not be higher than the current interbank offer, and the offer should not be…

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International Parity Conditions

International parity conditions refer to the economic theories that link exchange rates, price levels (inflation), and interest rates. These theories describe the interrelationships that help determine long-run fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation. Assumptions of International Parity Conditions…

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The Mark-to-Market Value of a Forward Contract

A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to trade one currency for another on a specified future date and at a pre-determined rate. In other words, it is an exchange rate transaction whose settlement timeline exceeds T+2. The…

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Spot Rate, Forward Rate, and Forward Premium/Discount

A spot exchange rate is the general price level in the market used to directly trade one currency for another, with the exchange occurring at the earliest possible time. The standard delivery time for spot currency transactions is no longer…

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The Bid-offer Spread

An exchange rate is the price of the base currency expressed in terms of the price currency. For example, assume that the USD/CAD rate is 0.7625. This implies that the Canadian dollar, the base currency, costs 0.7625 US dollars (One…

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Risk Governance

 After completing this reading, you should be able to: Explain Basel regulatory expectations for an operational risk management framework’s governance. Describe and compare the roles of different committees and the board of directors in operational risk governance. Describe the…

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Machine Learning and AI for Risk Management

After completing this reading, you should be able to: Explain the distinctions between the two broad categories of machine learning and describe the techniques used within each category. Analyze and discuss the application of AI and machine learning techniques in…

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