Market Exposure
Passive Bond Market Exposure Passive bond market exposure is a strategy in the... Read More
The history of emerging and/or frontier market government borrowers began slowly with only a few nations. It has since grown into a large and distinct market. Numerous crises from Latin America, Asia, and Europe have plagued the market throughout its development.
Investing in emerging market debt involves similar risks as investing in more developed economies’ debt. Among others, these risks include interest rate changes, currency movements, and the potential for defaults. In addition, investing in emerging market debt poses risks that are less significant in developed markets. These risks fall roughly into two categories:
(1) Economic or “ability to pay.”
(2) Political/legal or “willingness to pay.”
The following characteristics typify higher-risk emerging market debt:
Analysts should also consider the following:
International fixed-income investors may be unable to collect payment for various reasons, most of which stem from political instability, corruption, or weak property rights. History may be the best place to answer many questions pertinent to bond investors. Factors to consider include:
Question
Which of the following aspects of an economy would most likely reduce the confidence of a fixed-income investor?
- Diverse tax base.
- Less concentration of wealth.
- Greater dependence on specific industries.
Solution
The correct answer is C.
Greater dependence on specific industries would leave fixed-income investors less confident. This is because the industry upon which investors depend poses a substantial risk. If the industry experiences turmoil, there is little buffer (diversification) to save the economy.
A is incorrect. A diverse tax base is generally considered a positive factor for fixed-income investors. A diverse tax base means that the government has multiple sources of revenue, which can help to reduce the risk of default on its debt obligations. This, in turn, can increase the confidence of fixed-income investors.
B is incorrect. It is generally considered a positive factor for fixed-income investors. When wealth is less concentrated, there is a larger middle class with more disposable income. This can lead to increased economic stability and growth, increasing the confidence of fixed-income investors.
Asset Allocation: Learning Module 2: Capital Market Expectations – Part 2 Forecasting Asset Class Returns; Los 2(b) Discuss risks faced by investors in emerging market fixed-income securities and the country risk analysis techniques used to evaluate emerging market economies