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Optimal Portfolios

Optimal Portfolios

Risk-free assets are typically those issued by a government and considered to have zero risk. When we combine a risk-free asset with a portfolio of risky assets, we create a capital allocation line that we can represent on a graph on the efficient frontier curve. The capital allocation line connects the optimal risky portfolio to the risk-free asset.

The Two-fund Separation Theorem

The two-fund separation theorem states that all investors, regardless of taste, risk preference and initial wealth, will hold a combination of two portfolios or funds: a risk-free asset and an optimal portfolio of risky assets. This allows us to break the portfolio construction problem into two distinct steps: an investment decision and a financing decision. To start with, the optimal risky asset portfolio using the risk, return and correlation characteristics of the underlying assets dictate the investment decision. Besides, considering an investor’s risk preference, a determination is made on the allocation to the risk-free asset.  Plotting the risk-free asset with the risky portfolio on a graph creates the capital allocation line (CAL).

Capital-Allocation-Line-CAL

Investor Preferences

A highly risk-averse investor may choose to invest only in the risk-free asset. A less risk-averse investor may, on the contrary, have a small portion of their wealth invested in the risk-free asset and a large portion invested in the risky portfolio. An investors with a high-risk tolerance may, in fact, choose to borrow from the risk-free asset and invest in a risky portfolio. This enables the investor to invest more than 100% of their assets and create a leveraged portfolio.

Capital-Allocation-Line-CAL-given-Investor-Preferences

Utility and Indifference Curves

Utility is a measure of relative satisfaction that an investor derives from different portfolios. We can generate a mathematical function to represent this utility that is a function of the portfolio expected return, the portfolio variance and a measure of risk aversion.

U = E(r) – ½Aσ2

Where:

U = utility

E(r) = portfolio expected return

A = risk aversion coefficient

σ2 = portfolio variance

To determine the risk aversion (A), we measure the marginal reward an investor needs in order to take more risk. A risk-averse investor will need a high margin reward for taking more risk. The utility equation shows the following:

  • utility can be positive or negative – it is unbounded;
  • high returns add to utility;
  • high variance reduces utility; and
  • utility does not measure satisfaction but can be used to rank portfolios.

The risk aversion coefficient, A, is positive for risk-averse investors (any increase in risk reduces utility). It is 0 for risk-neutral investors (changes in risk do not affect utility) and negative for risk-seeking investors (additional risk increases utility).

Risk-Aversion-for-Different-Types-of-Investors

An indifference curve plots the combination of risk and return that an investor would accept for a given level of utility. For risk-averse investors, indifference curves run “northeast” since an investor must be compensated with higher returns for increasing risk. It has the steepest slope. An investor that is more risk-seeking has an indifference curve that is much flatter as their demand for increased returns as risk increases is much less acute.

We can overlay an investor’s indifference curve with the capital allocation line to determine their optimal portfolio.

Optimal-Portfolio-Given-Different-Utility-Functions

Question

Using the utility function U = E (r) – ½Aσ2 and assuming A = -4, which of the following statements best describes the investor’s attitude to risk?

A. The investor is risk-neutral.

B. The investor is risk-averse.

C. The investor is risk-seeking.

Solution

The correct answer is C.

A negative risk aversion coefficient (A = -4) means the investor receives a higher utility (more satisfaction) for taking more portfolio risk. A risk-averse investor would have a risk aversion coefficient greater than 0 while a risk neutral investor would have a risk aversion coefficient equal to 0.

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