Scenario Analysis in Forecasting
Industry and Business Risks Industry and business risks can lead to future outcomes... Read More
Fixed income investments include promises to repay borrowed money and a variety of other instruments with payment schedules. People, companies, and governments create fixed-income instruments when they borrow money. While there is no consensus definition on the exact cut-offs, fixed-income securities are often classified based on maturity date as short-term (less than one or two years), intermediate-term (two to five years), and long-term (greater than five years). Fixed income investments include:
Equities represent ownership rights in companies and include:
Pooled investments represent indirect ownership of assets held by an entity by purchasing shares, units, depository receipts, or limited partnership interests. Pooled investments are typically used to gain access to skilled investment management and/or to diversify an investor’s portfolio efficiently. Pooled investments are made up of two types of investment vehicles: open-ended and closed-ended funds.
Open-ended funds issue new shares and redeem existing shares at the fund’s net asset value (usually daily), and investors are typically able to trade their shares directly with the fund. On the other hand, closed-ended funds issue shares in primary market offerings, and those limited shares are traded in the secondary market. Since shares of closed-ended funds are not redeemable at their net asset value, shares may trade at a discount or premium to NAV. Pooled investment include:
There are approximately over 175 currencies worldwide, some of which are considered reserve currencies – currencies held by banks and other monetary authorities in large quantities. Primary reserve currencies include the US dollar and the euro. Secondary reserve currencies include the British pound, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc.
Contracts are agreements to trade other assets in the future, many of which are derivatives. Derivative contracts are assets that derive their value from the prices of underlying assets. Derivatives are classified by the nature of their underlying assets. For instance, a contract based on the price of gold would be considered a physical derivative, while a contract based on Costco’s stock price or the S&P 500 would be considered a financial derivative – or, more specifically, an equity derivative. Types of contracts include:
Commodities include precious metals, energy products, industrial metals, agricultural products, and carbon credits. Exposure to commodities can be achieved directly through the spot markets or indirectly through the forward and futures markets. The producers and processors of industrial metals and agricultural products are the primary users of the commodity spot markets because they tend to have an informational edge and access inexpensive storage.
On the contrary, information-motivated traders often trade in the commodities forward or futures markets to hopefully profit from future price movements without paying for storage of the underlying assets.
Real assets are investments in tangible properties, usually held by operating companies. Investors find real assets attractive due to their potential income and tax benefits and low correlation to other asset classes. However, direct investments in real assets are usually quite costly as investors must either maintain the property themselves or hire a manager to do it for them. No two real assets are exactly the same, making real assets difficult to value and trade.
These issues play into the hands of information-motivated traders targeting undervalued investments acquired from less informed sellers. But, the excess returns generated by these traders may be partially or completely offset by the additional costs of finding and managing the undervalued properties.
Financial intermediaries like real estate investment trusts (REITs) and master limited partnerships (MLPs) securitize real assets and passing through most of their net income after management fees to investors. These investment vehicles allow investors to gain indirect exposure to real assets without the same shortcomings of direct investments.
Question 1
Louis Reed, a wheat farmer, wants to protect himself against the risk of falling wheat prices without sacrificing all the upside if wheat prices spike. What should Reed most likely do to achieve this goal?
- Buy put options.
- Buy call options.
- Sell futures contracts.
Solution
The correct answer is A.
Buying put options allows him to protect against the risk of falling wheat prices while retaining the ability to benefit if wheat prices rise. A put option gives him the right, but not the obligation, to sell wheat at a specified price (strike price), which protects against downside risk. If prices fall, he can exercise the put option and sell at the higher strike price. If prices rise, he can let the option expire and sell the wheat at the higher market price, thereby benefiting from the price increase.
B is incorrect. Call options give the right to buy an asset at a specific price. This would not help protect against falling wheat prices since Reed is a wheat seller, not a buyer. He needs protection against price declines, which calls do not provide.
C is incorrect. Selling futures contracts would lock in a specific price for his wheat, providing downside protection, but it would also sacrifice any upside potential if prices spike. This strategy doesn’t allow Reed to benefit from a price increase, which is part of his goal.
Question 2
Short Term Capital Management (STCM) generates extraordinary returns by identifying small market inefficiencies and employing a high amount of leverage. Since the fund’s inception, STCM’s managers have become incredibly wealthy due in large part to the performance-based fees charged to fund investors. STCM is most likely a:
- Hedge fund.
- Mutual fund.
- Exchange-traded fund.
Solution
The correct answer is A.
Hedge funds typically use strategies that involve identifying market inefficiencies, employing leverage, and charging performance-based fees (such as a percentage of profits). These funds are often less regulated than mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), allowing them to use more aggressive strategies, like the ones described.
B is incorrect. Mutual funds are generally more conservative, typically focusing on long-term investments in stocks or bonds without using high leverage. They also charge management fees based on assets under management (AUM) rather than performance-based fees, and they tend to be more regulated.
C is incorrect. ETFs track indices or sectors and are passively managed in most cases. They do not engage in the type of highly leveraged, active trading strategies described here, and their fees are typically lower and not performance-based.