Study Notes for CFA® Level III – Capital Market Expectations – offered by AnalystPrep

Study Notes for CFA® Level III – Capital Market Expectations – offered by AnalystPrep

Reading 1: Capital Market Expectations – Part 1 (Framework and Macro Considerations)

Los 1 a: Discuss the role of, and a framework for, capital market expectations in the portfolio management process

Los 1 b: Discuss challenges in developing capital market forecasts

Los 1 c: Explain how exogenous shocks may affect economic growth trends

Los 1 d: Discuss the application of economic growth trend analysis to the formulation of capital market expectations

Los 1 e: Compare major approaches to economic forecasting

Los 1 f: Discuss how business cycles affect short- and long-term expectations

Los 1 g: Explain the relationship of inflation to the business cycle and the implications of inflation for cash, bonds, equity, and real estate returns

Los 1 h: Discuss the effects of monetary and fiscal policy on business cycles

Los 1 i: Interpret the shape of the yield curve as an economic predictor and discuss the relationship between the yield curve and fiscal and monetary policy

Los 1 j: Identify and interpret macroeconomic, interest rate, and exchange rate linkages between economies

Reading 2: Capital Market Expectations – Part 2 (Forecasting Asset Class Returns)

Los 2 a: Discuss approaches to setting expectations for fixed-income returns

Los 2 b: Discuss risks faced by investors in emerging market fixed-income securities and the country risk analysis techniques used to evaluate emerging market economies

Los 2 c: Discuss approaches to setting expectations for equity investment market returns

Los 2 d: Discuss risks faced by investors in emerging market equity securities

Los 2 e: Explain how economic and competitive factors can affect expectations for real estate investment markets and sector returns

Los 2 f: Discuss major approaches to forecasting exchange rates

Los 2 g: Discuss methods of forecasting volatility

Los 2 h: Recommend and justify changes in the component weights of a global investment portfolio based on trends and expected changes in macroeconomic factors

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